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forklog.media Criticism Over Partnership: Journalists Investigate Polymarket and Kalshi

The American publication More Perfect Union (MPU) has released a video investigation into prediction markets. The investigation was prompted by Polymarket's proposal to integrate the platform's odds into MPU reports. Instead of collaborating, the journalists scrutinized Polymarket's business model and public statements by the company's head, Shayne Coplan. They concluded that prediction platforms exploit Americans' economic anxieties under the guise of "financial democratization." Forecast Accuracy Lower Than Claimed The authors cited a study by Vanderbilt University concerning the 2024 U.S. elections. According to its findings, Polymarket's forecast accuracy was 67%, while Kalshi's was 78%. The older platform, PredictIt, showed a much higher result of 93%. The journalists noted that Coplan had given an interview to the program 60 Minutes, calling prediction markets "the most accurate tool humanity has at the moment." The report also mentioned the February U.S. employment report. Market participants predicted an increase of 60,000 jobs, but the actual difference from the final figure was 150,000. Insider Trading as Part of the Model Economist Robin Hanson, one of the ideological inspirations behind modern prediction markets, stated in the video that insiders on such platforms are the norm. U.S. Senator Chris Murphy commented to MPU, describing prediction markets related to government decisions as inherently unfair: "All bets on government actions are rigged because someone in the government knows the outcome. Many other bets are also rigged — a small circle of influential people knows the result in advance." Murphy believes that contracts where thousands of people know the result in advance should not be traded at all. In March, Kalshi and Polymarket announced new measures to combat insider trading. Experts interviewed by MPU doubted that the platforms could control tens of thousands of potential insiders across all types of markets — from video game releases to Spotify streaming statistics. 0.04% of Traders Take 70% of Profits The publication provided data showing that 0.04% of traders receive about 70% of the profits on prediction markets. According to a report by Citizens Bank, clients of these platforms lose more money in the first three months of trading than users of traditional sportsbooks. Journalist and author of the U.S. gambling industry newsletter The Closing Line, Dustin Gouker, stated that 85-90% of Kalshi's turnover is in sports. For Polymarket, this figure is about 40%. Gouker described the activity as gambling, regardless of how the platforms themselves label it. Regulation and Lobbying Federal regulation through the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) exempts platforms from local taxes and player protection requirements. For comparison, in New York State, bookmakers pay a 51% tax and are required to implement tools to combat gambling addiction. This inequality has already sparked conflict with state authorities — Kalshi has faced lawsuits from more than a dozen states demanding its activities be recognized as unlicensed gambling. However, the CFTC maintains the status quo, and Donald Trump Jr. serves as a strategic advisor to both Polymarket and Kalshi. In February, Polymarket opened a free grocery store in New York. MPU journalists visited the location during the video shoot and assessed the event as an attempt to draw Americans' attention to the gambling platform.

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forklog.media Google Unveils AI Models for Text-to-Speech, Robotics, and Gemini on macOS

Google has released Gemini 3.1 Flash TTS, an updated speech synthesis model based on the Gemini 3 generation. It features improved sound quality, expressiveness, and more precise control, supporting over 70 languages. The neural network enables developers, companies, and ordinary users to create applications with a voice AI interface. Gemini 3.1 Flash TTS is now available: for developers — in early access via Gemini API and Google AI Studio; for enterprises — in Vertex AI; for Workspace users — through the Google Vids service. Enhanced Speech Quality and Control The model scored 1211 points in the Artificial Analysis TTS rating. This score is based on the preferences of thousands of respondents who participated in blind audio quality testing. Source: Google. Artificial Analysis has classified the model among the most attractive solutions due to its combination of high-quality speech synthesis and low cost. LLM stands out for its ability to generate natural dialogues involving multiple speakers. New Audio Tags Version 3.1 Flash TTS introduces audio tags — a tool for managing style, pace, and manner of speech. “Early developers and corporate testers are already seeing the results of 3.1 Flash TTS, noting its impressive control and expressiveness. They told us how audio tags provide a new level of creative precision, transforming simple text into high-quality voice performance,” the company blog states. AI Model for Robotics Alongside Gemini 3.1 Flash TTS, the corporation introduced Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6. This AI model is designed to enable robots to perform complex tasks in real-world conditions through enhanced cognitive functions and “embodied” thinking. The neural network specializes in spatial perception, action planning, and evaluating their success. It shows significant improvements over its predecessor and Gemini 3.0 Flash in tasks related to spatial and physical reasoning. Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6 can interpret data from complex measuring instruments and observe indicators through viewports. This capability was developed by Google DeepMind specialists in collaboration with Boston Dynamics for industrial sector needs. “Such capabilities allow autonomous seeing, understanding, and responding to real challenges,” commented Marco da Silva, Vice President of the Spot project at Boston Dynamics. In security threat detection tests, the new model outperformed Gemini 3.0 Flash by 6% in text scenarios and 10% in video analysis. The integration of LLM into real workflows has already begun: Boston Dynamics has integrated Gemini and Gemini Robotics-ER 1.6 into its own Orbit AIVI-Learning platform. Gemini on macOS Additionally, Google released a native Gemini application for macOS. It is accessible by pressing Option + Space. Features include the ability to share a window for instant context transfer. The application supports image generation with Nano Banana, video creation with Veo, and other familiar tools. Back in April, Google introduced Gemma 4 — a new family of open AI models for advanced reasoning and agent workflows.

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cryptobriefing.com Meg Appelgate: Child care institutions can harbor predators, religious affiliations complicate accountability, and adolescent behaviors are often misunderstood | Shawn Ryan Show

Landmark legislation aims to increase oversight and accountability in the Troubled Teen Industry's treatment programs. The post Meg Appelgate: Child care institutions can harbor predators, religious affiliations complicate accountability, and adolescent behaviors are often misunderstood | Shawn Ryan Show appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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blockmanity.com South Korea’s Q4 Blockchain Breakthrough: Testing Deposit Tokens to Streamline Government Spending

In a major step toward modernizing public finance, South Korea is set to launch a pilot program in Q4 to test for government spending. This initiative by the Ministry of Economy and Finance aims to make handling Treasury funds faster, […] The post South Korea’s Q4 Blockchain Breakthrough: Testing Deposit Tokens to Streamline Government Spending appeared first on Blockmanity.

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bitcoinist.com Binance Founder CZ Says Biden Admin Wanted To ‘Make An Example’ Of Him

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao has discussed his prison sentence and presidential pardon, claiming that the Biden administration wanted to send a message to the crypto industry with his case. Related Reading: UK Lawmaker Calls For Probe Into Nigel Farage’s Crypto Ties After $2.7M Stack BTC Promotion Biden Admin Crackdown Led CZ To Prison On Tuesday, […]

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forklog.media Bitdeer Surpasses MARA in Bitcoin Mining Capacity

The mining company Bitdeer has expanded its cryptocurrency mining capacity to 69.5 EH/s, marking a 504% increase over the year.  $BTDR March 2026 Operations Update:🔹Self-mining #hashrate of 69.5 EH/s (⬆️ 504% Y/Y), with 661 $BTC mined (⬆️ 480% Y/Y)🔹#SEALMINER A4 series launched with efficiency of ~9.45 J/T🔹#AICloud ARR reached ~$43M (⬆️ 105% M/M) as demand for #AI agent workloads grows… pic.twitter.com/3fjMX4KE0R— Bitdeer (@Bitdeer) April 15, 2026 In March, the firm mined 661 BTC, a 480% increase from the previous year. Bitdeer operates approximately 262,000 mining rigs, of which 225,000 are owned by the company.  The company's global energy capacity, including projects under development, has reached 3 GW. Market Position The total hashrate managed by Bitdeer has risen to 78.1 EH/s, encompassing both its own equipment and hosted machines. The nearest competitor, MARA, has a capacity of 66.4 EH/s, while CleanSpark stands at 47.3 EH/s.  The company is ramping up production of ASIC miners: the flagship SEALMINER A4 series with an energy efficiency of ~9.45 J/TH has already hit the market. In March, Bitdeer also introduced the SEALMINER DL1 Air for mining Litecoin and Dogecoin using the Scrypt algorithm. Simultaneously, the firm is scaling its AI division. The load level of the AI Cloud service increased from 64% to 94%, with annual revenue reaching approximately $43 million, a 105% rise over the month. “This dynamic demonstrates both the scale of market opportunities and our ability to effectively provide high-performance infrastructure for artificial intelligence,” commented Bitdeer's Chief Operating Officer Matt Kong. Other Players Meanwhile, miner CleanSpark reported mining 658 BTC in March. Since the beginning of the year, the company has accumulated 1,799 BTC.  The operational hashrate at the end of last month reached 50 EH/s. Its fleet of 224,473 rigs achieved peak efficiency of 16.07 J/TH, and the average monthly capacity increased by 11%.  The firm controls over 1.8 GW of capacity, with 808 MW already operational. CleanSpark is actively expanding beyond bitcoin mining. The company's CEO, Matt Schultz, noted that they have “made significant progress in attracting their first hyperscale client in AI and high-performance computing.”  Canaan mined 89 BTC in March. The miner's crypto reserves reached a record 1,808 BTC and 3,952 ETH.  The company's deployed hashrate stands at 10.97 EH/s. An additional 4.4 EH/s is generated by a joint venture acquired from Cipher Mining — in February, Canaan purchased 49% of its partner in three Texas facilities. Sales Major miners continue to sell bitcoin amid challenging industry conditions. According to CryptoQuant, since the start of the current cycle, their combined balances have fallen from 1.862 million to 1.801 million BTC. Net sales amounted to approximately 61,000 BTC. Miner Reserves Declining.Since the start of this cycle, miner reserves fell from ~1.862M BTC to 1.801M BTC, a net sell of ~61K BTC.Verified selling: • Riot Platforms: 4,026 BTC • Marathon Digital: 13,210 BTC • Core Scientific: 1,992 BTCSimultaneously, AntPool miner… pic.twitter.com/xg9wrLshuH— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 16, 2026 The largest number of coins was sold by MARA Holdings — 13,210 BTC. Riot Platforms and Core Scientific sold 4,026 BTC and 1,992 BTC respectively.  Meanwhile, experts have noted an increase in the balances of the AntPool mining pool.  Earlier in the first quarter of 2026, bitcoin's hashrate declined by nearly 6%. Experts attributed the drop to the shutdown of outdated equipment. 

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blockonomi.com Bittensor Proposes Locked Stake Mechanism to Strengthen Subnet Governance

TLDR: Bittensor’s Conviction Mechanism locks stake over time, creating a verifiable metric for long-term holder commitment. Subnet ownership becomes competitive under the proposal, replacing static control with conviction-based voting rights. Initial rollout targets mature subnets 3, 39, and 81, with new subnets receiving a grace period before rules apply. Bittensor’s long-term vision uses locked stake [...] The post Bittensor Proposes Locked Stake Mechanism to Strengthen Subnet Governance appeared first on Blockonomi.

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news.bitcoin.com Pakistan Reopens Banks to Crypto: A Look at What Changed

Pakistan has ended one of the longest-running banking prohibitions in global crypto. On April 14, 2026, the State Bank of Pakistan issued BPRD Circular Letter No. 10 of 2026, allowing licensed banks to open and maintain accounts for Virtual Asset Service Providers holding a valid No Objection Certificate or full license from the Pakistan Virtual […]

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forklog.media CryptoQuant Analysts Warn of Profit-Taking Risk in Bitcoin

The rally of the leading cryptocurrency to $75,000 is accompanied by an increasing risk of profit-taking. Several on-chain indicators suggest mounting pressure from sellers, noted Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant.  Bitcoin hit $76K resistance, and exchange inflows surged.~11K BTC/hour moved to exchanges, the highest since Dec 2025 and above the March spike that preceded a pullback.Large holders are positioning to distribute into strength. Watch for selling pressure. pic.twitter.com/zcTHglIVnL— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 15, 2026 On April 14, the price of Bitcoin rose above $75,400 for the first time since early February. The growth was driven by the asset's undervaluation, a temporary easing of tensions between the US and Iran, and a weakening of the US dollar.  At the time of writing, the digital gold's rate had retreated to $74,700 but remains near the key level of $76,800 — the realized price for traders.  In a bear market, this mark serves as a strong resistance zone: as holders approach the breakeven point, they begin to sell coins, curbing further growth, the expert explained. Hourly chart of BTC/USDT on Binance. Source: TradingView.  “In January 2026, this band halted the rally in the bear market, and prices went down. The same could happen if sellers become active. If the resistance holds, the lower band at $67,600 will become support,” Moreno emphasized.  A Warning Sign  As Bitcoin's price rose, so did inflows to exchanges — up to 11,000 BTC per hour. This is the highest level since late December 2025. The analyst called the trend a “warning sign”: investors often transfer coins to trading platforms for subsequent sale. Moreno recalled that in March of this year, hourly inflows of 9,000 BTC with a concentration of large deposits at 63% preceded a short-term drop in the first cryptocurrency's rate.  According to CryptoQuant, the increase in exchange inflows is mainly driven by large holders. The expert noted that the average transfer size jumped to 2.25 BTC — the highest since July 2024. This is facilitated by large individual transfers to Binance exceeding 1,000 BTC. “This pattern was already observed in January when the average deposit reached nearly 2 BTC before Bitcoin's plunge from $100,000 to $60,000,” he added. The share of large deposits also sharply increased — from 10% to 40% of the total volume of inflows to exchanges over a few days. Historically, such figures coincided with an increase in short-term selling pressure, Moreno emphasized.  Not Yet at the Peak   The volume of profit-taking by market participants is still far from peak levels. The daily realized income is about $500 million — below the $1 billion threshold, which in bearish phases usually signals a surge in sales.  “If Bitcoin holds above $76,000 or breaks the realized price for traders at $76,800, daily realized profit could sharply rise to $1 billion and above. This would add pressure on sellers and increase the likelihood of a rally halt or reversal,” the expert concluded. Meanwhile, Glassnode noted that position closures are gaining momentum: the 30-day EMA of the realized profit/loss ratio is 1.16 — investors are selling on the rise.  Approaching the Ceiling$BTC holds ~$74K, ~5% below key $78K resistance. Spot and ETF demand improve, but profit-taking and cautious options positioning suggest a twitchy, flow-driven recovery lacking strong conviction.Read the full Week On-Chain👇https://t.co/hLPc8PkKss pic.twitter.com/wW110xUd89— glassnode (@glassnode) April 15, 2026 To sustainably consolidate above $78,100 (analysts call this level key resistance), the market will need to absorb this supply. Correction Potential is Limited  Meanwhile, Bitfinex analysts drew attention to the actions of large players: over the past 30 days, whales have accumulated 270,000 BTC. This is the highest figure since 2013. Simultaneously, exchange reserves of the first cryptocurrency have fallen to a multi-year low.  Whales accumulated 270,000 $BTC in 30 days, the largest buying spree since 2013.Exchange reserves are at their lowest since December 2017.The supply to meet new demand is shrinking 🤔 pic.twitter.com/F6Td5a5XcL— Bitfinex (@bitfinex) April 15, 2026 According to experts, the supply to meet new demand is shrinking. On one hand, this makes the market vulnerable to sharp movements — even a small volume of sales can cause significant volatility. On the other hand, the potential for a prolonged decline is limited: sellers will not have enough coins for sustained pressure on the price. Specialists at K33 identified signs of a Bitcoin reversal after 68 days of consolidation. 

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bitcoinist.com Denmark’s Crypto Ownership Rate Among Lowest In Europe At 4%: Report

Denmark’s biggest bank only recently started letting customers buy into Bitcoin and Ether — and that may explain a lot. Related Reading: Crypto Gains Ally As Former CFTC Chair Becomes Full-Time Adviser Banks, Tax Rules Kept Many Danes On The Sidelines For years, Danish banks largely shut the door on crypto. Most refused to let […]

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blockonomi.com Bitcoin Decouples from S&P 500 as Market Correlation Turns Negative Mid-Cycle

TLDR: A $19B leverage wipeout in October 2025 erased Bitcoin’s two-year correlation with the S&P 500 index. Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with equities turned negative after open interest collapsed from $45B to $21.9B. Historical halving data shows Bitcoin recoveries begin 30 to 36 months after each halving event occurs. Bitcoin now trades as a standalone asset [...] The post Bitcoin Decouples from S&P 500 as Market Correlation Turns Negative Mid-Cycle appeared first on Blockonomi.

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