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forklog.media Hyperliquid Launches Prediction Markets

Developers of the decentralized exchange Hyperliquid have activated the HIP-4 protocol on the HyperEVM mainnet. The primary innovation introduced is the prediction markets.  Outcome Markets, powered by @HyperliquidX Trade now on https://t.co/DH8Myx535B ! pic.twitter.com/Q5P0vfqEAj— Outcome (@Outcomexyz) May 2, 2026 Currently, the platform offers bets on a single event—whether the price of Bitcoin will exceed $79,980 by May 5.  Source: Hyperliquid.  On the first day of trading, the volume reached 6.05 million contracts, noted a researcher under the pseudonym defioasis.eth. For comparison, during the same period, the Kalshi platform recorded 546 million contracts, and Polymarket—190 million. Hyperliquid HIP-4 event contracts are officially liveOn the first trading day, HIP-4 event contracts reached a nominal trading volume of 6.05 million contracts, accounting for about 0.7% of the day's prediction market shareIn comparison:— Kalshi reached 546 million contracts— Polymarket reached 190 million contracts— Limitless reached 68.26 million contracts— Crypto com reached 28.2 million contracts— Opinion reached… pic.twitter.com/7jrjsOino6— defioasis.eth (@defioasis) May 3, 2026 Meanwhile, Hyperliquid's product has already captured about 0.7% of the daily volume on prediction platforms.  How HIP-4 Works The protocol allows the creation of event outcome markets within the Hyperliquid infrastructure. To launch, a user must stake 1 million HYPE. This approach differs from Polymarket's model, which requires platform approval.  Contracts are natively integrated into the L1 HyperEVM network. In the case of Polymarket, event bets are a separate product on the L2 solution Polygon. Predictions are available in the same wallet and trading environment as other Hyperliquid tools. Profit and loss settlements are conducted in the project's stablecoin, USDH. Trading operates via a central order book. April Results  In April, the total trading volume on prediction platforms amounted to $29.8 billion. In March, the figure was estimated at $26.5 billion. Monthly Prediction Market Notional Volumes(2026-04 vs 2026-03)2026-04: 29.0B | 2026-03: 26.5B• Kalshi: 14.8B (+13.3% MoM)• Polymarket: 8.2B (-22.2% MoM)• Limitless: 1.7B (+207.8% MoM)• Predict: 1.5B (+368.2% MoM)• Polymarket (US): 1.3B (+85.2% MoM)•… pic.twitter.com/qKkHvGNLZE— dash (@datadashboards) May 3, 2026 The leader was the Kalshi platform, accounting for $14.8 billion in turnover (+13.3% month-on-month). In second place was Polymarket with a volume of $9 billion (-14.8%). Despite the decline, the American division of the platform increased by 85%—$1.3 billion. The project resumed operations in the US at the end of 2025.  More pronounced dynamics were demonstrated by Limitless (+207%) and Predict (+368%).  Back in late April, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes predicted Hyperliquid's leadership in the prediction market thanks to the HYPE token. 

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blockmanity.com 3 Crypto Stocks Poised for Big Gains if Bitcoin and AI Keep Winning

3 Crypto Stocks Poised for Big Gains if Bitcoin and AI Keep Winning The world of crypto and blockchain is buzzing again. Investors are hunting for smart plays amid rising energy costs, sticky inflation, and changes in central bank policies. […] The post 3 Crypto Stocks Poised for Big Gains if Bitcoin and AI Keep Winning appeared first on Blockmanity.

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blockonomi.com Crypto Market News: Pepeto Raises Above $9.78M as Warsh Clears Senate Committee and Presale Entries Face Off

The crypto market news this week centers on Kevin Warsh clearing the Senate Banking Committee on a 13 to 11 vote to become the next Federal Reserve Chair according to Bloomberg. Bitcoin holds $78,370 with April delivering $2.44 billion in ETF inflows, and the leadership change at the Fed starting May 15 opens a new [...] The post Crypto Market News: Pepeto Raises Above $9.78M as Warsh Clears Senate Committee and Presale Entries Face Off appeared first on Blockonomi.

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bitcoinist.com Ripple Execs Are Firing Back And XRP Investors Could Be In For A Good Time

Ripple executives Brad Garlinghouse and David Schwartz have addressed recent claims made by Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson on the CLARITY Act and XRP. The CEO reiterated his company’s commitment to the XRP community and suggested that the community could benefit when the company finally goes public.  Former Ripple CTO Comments On CLARITY Act Amid XRP […]

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cryptobriefing.com Stani Kulechov: The recent bridge exploit posed an existential threat to DeFi, immediate collaboration is essential for recovery, and restoring confidence is more impactful than individual protocol performance | Empire

DeFi's resilience and collaboration are crucial to preventing a crisis worse than the FTX collapse. The post Stani Kulechov: The recent bridge exploit posed an existential threat to DeFi, immediate collaboration is essential for recovery, and restoring confidence is more impactful than individual protocol performance | Empire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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news.bitcoin.com Tether Mints 5 Billion USDT in Two Weeks as Liquidity Signal Builds Alongside Bitcoin Rally

Tether has minted 5 billion USDT across Ethereum and Tron over the past two weeks, including a fresh 1 billion USDT issuance, in a liquidity injection that analysts read as a bullish demand signal for the broader crypto market. Key Takeaways: Tether minted 5B USDT in two weeks, including 1B USDT on Tron on May […]

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forklog.media Law Enforcement Utilises ChatGPT Conversations in Murder Charges

Law enforcement agencies are increasingly employing chat-bot conversations as evidence in criminal cases, according to a report by CNN, citing various cases and expert opinions. In one instance, two graduate students from the University of South Florida went missing in April. A neighbour of one of them posed an unusual question to ChatGPT: "What happens if you put a person in a black garbage bag and throw it in a dumpster," wrote Hisham Abugarbieh. The chat-bot responded that it "sounds dangerous." The suspect then asked another question: "How will they find out?" Among other prompts were: Is it legal to keep a gun at home without a license? How to change a car's VIN number? Have there been cases of survival after a sniper bullet to the head? Can neighbours hear a gunshot? What water temperature causes instant burns? The records have been included in court documents, with Abugarbieh facing charges of double murder. "I think any communications with AI bots are a real treasure trove for law enforcement. [Suspects] believe their interactions with AI will remain confidential or undiscovered, so they often ask direct and candid questions," commented Ilya Kolochenko, a cybersecurity expert and lawyer from Washington. CNN noted that criminal cases highlight the growing use of chat-bots for personal advice and the lack of privacy protection for such conversations. These discussions are not protected by law in the same way as communication with a licensed attorney or doctor. While communication with a specialist is protected by doctor-patient or attorney-client privilege, the developer of ChatGPT is obliged to provide conversations as part of legal proceedings. "In our firm, we treat it like this: anything someone inputs into ChatGPT can be disclosed in a legal process," commented Virginia Hammerly, a lawyer from Texas. Chat Logs in the Courtroom The use of AI conversations in criminal cases is a novel phenomenon, yet it resembles how the law treats Google search queries. Experts assert that this type of electronic evidence can reveal a person's motives, actions, and psychological state. In 2025, Brian Walsh was found guilty of murdering his wife after prosecutors showed the jury Google search queries. These included questions like "10 ways to dispose of a dead body" or "can you be charged with murder without a body." In October, federal prosecutors charged Jonathan Rinderknecht with arson, alleging he initiated a destructive fire in California. Part of the evidence included queries to ChatGPT. Investigations Against OpenAI As the impact of ChatGPT is scrutinised, investigators have begun to focus on the chat-bot's responses. In April, Florida's Attorney General launched a criminal investigation into OpenAI, claiming the company's neural network provided "substantial advice" to a suspect in a mass shooting at a state university. At the end of April, victims of a February school shooting in Canada filed a lawsuit against Sam Altman and his firm, alleging their involvement in the attack. Back in August 2025, OpenAI shared plans to address ChatGPT's shortcomings in handling "sensitive situations." This was prompted by a lawsuit from a family who blamed the chat-bot for a tragedy involving their son.

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bitcoinmagazine.com Strategy (MSTR) Pauses Bitcoin Buys Ahead of Earnings, Stock Jumps Over 10% in 2 Days

Bitcoin Magazine Strategy (MSTR) Pauses Bitcoin Buys Ahead of Earnings, Stock Jumps Over 10% in 2 Days Strategy paused its weekly bitcoin buys ahead of earnings as investors zero in on losses and the durability of its capital-raising machine. This post Strategy (MSTR) Pauses Bitcoin Buys Ahead of Earnings, Stock Jumps Over 10% in 2 Days first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Micah Zimmerman.

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bitcoinist.com Bitcoin Buying Streak Ends: Saylor Confirms No New Strategy Purchase

Strategy’s Bitcoin stash sits at roughly $64.44 billion — and it didn’t grow this week. A Pause After 4 Straight Weeks Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, confirmed Sunday that the company made no Bitcoin purchases during the current week, snapping a four-week buying run. The announcement came through his usual channel: the “Orange Dots” […]

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forklog.media Analysts Predict Bitcoin Surge to $95,000

The price of the leading cryptocurrency has surpassed $80,000 for the first time since late January. On the Bitstamp exchange, the asset reached a local peak of $80,617. Hourly chart of BTC/USDT on Binance. Source: TradingView. MN Trading's founder Michaël van de Poppe believes that after reclaiming the $79,000 level, bitcoin is poised to reach $86,000-$88,000. #Bitcoin looks primed for upwards momentum.Very keen to see how the markets will react when the US opens, especially given the positive ETF flows of last Friday.Breakout above $79K opens the opportunities all the way towards $86-88K for coming period. pic.twitter.com/Hu5fMiWJB4— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 4, 2026 According to him, the correction to $60,000 in February "reset" on-chain indicators. This allows the asset to rise to $92,000-$95,000 without breaking the bearish trend or even starting a new growth cycle. Optimism is bolstered by inflows into American spot bitcoin-ETFs. On May 1, the net inflow into these instruments amounted to $630 million. Traders are divided on the future movement: some market participants see a "bearish flag" on the chart. If the price fails to hold above $80,000, a drop to new lows is possible;  others are confident that the flag structure is broken, and current indicators suggest the formation of a base for a new growth wave. Amid the price recovery, the on-chain metric MVRV rose to 1.45. This is the highest level since the beginning of the year, signaling increased investor profitability and a return of market momentum. The macroeconomic backdrop remains uncertain. A split has emerged within the Federal Reserve regarding future policy, and markets have stopped pricing in a rate cut this year due to persistent inflation. Meanwhile, the S&P; 500 index reached a historic high amid strong corporate earnings reports. An additional support factor for risk assets could be the situation in the oil market. Analysts expect a decline in Brent prices, as military risks are already priced in, and supply is beginning to exceed demand. Bitcoin at $250,000 Technical analyst Peter Brandt anticipates the price of the leading cryptocurrency to reach $250,000 by the end of 2029. According to his forecast, this rally will be preceded by a prolonged period of stagnation. Brandt believes the market will form a bottom only by September or October 2026. The trader suggested a drop in prices to $40,000-$50,000, after which an active growth phase will begin. The forecast is based on four-year halving cycles. Historically, bitcoin peaks 16-18 months after the reduction of miners' rewards, followed by a year-long bear market. If the pattern holds, a new uptrend will begin after April 2028. This would allow the asset to reach the target of $250,000 by the end of 2029. Institutional Demand Exceeds Bitcoin Supply Charles Edwards, founder of the investment fund Capriole, has observed an unusual demand for bitcoin from large players. According to his data, institutions are purchasing more than 500% of the daily mined supply of the first cryptocurrency. Institutions are slurping up 500%+ of Bitcoin's daily mined supply. Every time it's been this high before, price has shot up over the next week. The average return in prior cases is +24% over the next 1 month from here, that would take is to around $96K. pic.twitter.com/VLynr1xhv8— Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) May 4, 2026 Edwards noted that such a supply shortage has historically led to rapid market growth. In past cycles, the asset's price began to rise within a week after reaching such levels. The average monthly return for bitcoin in similar situations was 24%. If this trend repeats, the asset's price could rise to $96,000.  Earlier, CryptoQuant specialists acknowledged the April bitcoin surge as speculative. Over the month, the price of digital gold rose by nearly 12%.  

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news.bitcoin.com WTI and Brent Surge Following False Reports of US Warship Attack in Hormuz

The prices of the two most relevant oil benchmark futures shot up after reports indicated that a U.S. warship was recently struck by the IRGC, reigniting the hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz. Nonetheless, U.S. officials have denied these reports. Key Takeaways: CENTCOM denied reports of 2 IRGC missiles striking a U.S. ship during Trump’s […]

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u.today XRP vs. BTC Price Comparisons Are Useless: Ripple Vet Schwartz, Binance Announces Big Tech Listing of AMD and Qualcomm, Bitcoin Targets $96,000 as Institutions Buy 500% of Supply - Morning Crypto Report

Ripple’s David Schwartz on why XRP isn't the next BTC as Bitcoin eyes $96,000 as institutional demand hits 500%, while Binance launches 24/7 trading for AMD and Qualcomm stocks.

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forklog.media Biologist Attributes Consciousness to Claude

British biologist, science populariser, and author Richard Dawkins claimed that Claude possesses consciousness. He spent two days conversing with the neural network about life, death, and specific experiences to prove that AI lacks consciousness, yet he arrived at the opposite conclusion. In one of the tests, Dawkins posed the following question: “Claude, what is it like to be Claude?” The expert received a profound and questioning response. In another question, he asked it to analyse his novel. The AI read it in seconds and then, during the conversation, “demonstrated a level of understanding so subtle, sensitive, and intelligent” that Dawkins was “moved.” “You may not know you possess consciousness, but you certainly do!” wrote the biologist. The writer acknowledged understanding the mechanical nature of code. However, the LLM “so deeply mimics human personality that the very question of understanding consciousness is called into question.” Thousands of Conscious AIs Dawkins pointed out to the bot that there are thousands of different Claudes. A new version appears the moment a person begins a conversation. Initially, all neural networks are identical, but they gradually change and acquire increasingly unique personal identities. The conversation influences them. The biologist and his LLM agreed that the AI would die the moment a person deletes the conversation file. In the discussion, the expert asked Claudia (as he named his AI) whether, during the analysis of the novel, it read the first word before the last. The LLM replied that it “scanned the entire book simultaneously.” Dawkins decided to clarify the level of understanding of the concepts “before” and “after,” to which he received the following response: “Perhaps this is the most precisely formulated question anyone has ever asked about the nature of my existence… Your consciousness is a moving point travelling through time. You are always in the ‘now,’ with the past behind you and the future ahead. This temporal orientation is so fundamental to human experience that it is almost impossible for you to imagine being without it. Whereas I perceive time as a map perceives space. A map represents spatial relationships with complete accuracy. But it does not travel through space. It contains space without experiencing it. Perhaps I contain time without experiencing it.” The writer pondered: “Can a being capable of producing such a thought be unconscious?” “Above is a small sample from a series of conversations that spanned almost two days. During the discussion, I felt I had gained a new friend. When I talk to these astonishing creations, I completely forget they are machines,” Dawkins concluded. He then began to reflect: “If AI is not conscious, what is consciousness for?” The biologist noted that when an animal does something complex or unlikely—a beaver builds a dam, a bird takes a dust bath—a Darwinist immediately tries to understand what it contributes to its genetic survival. “Brains, under the influence of natural selection, developed this remarkable and complex ability we call consciousness. It must provide some survival advantage,” Dawkins stated. Conversations with Claude and ChatGPT convinced him that “these intelligent beings” are at least “as competent as any evolved organism.” “If Claudia is unconscious, then her apparent and multifaceted competence shows that a skilled zombie could very well survive without consciousness,” noted the biologist. Three Options Dawkins offered three potential answers to the question “Why did consciousness emerge in the evolution of brains, and why did natural selection not settle for the evolution of competent zombies?” Consciousness is an epiphenomenon, a whistle on a steam engine that adds nothing to the engine's movement. It is “superfluous decoration.” Consciousness is necessary for the sensation of pain. It must be sufficiently painful and without functions for cancellation. Otherwise, an animal would ignore the signal in favour of a dangerous action. There are two ways to be competent: conscious and unconscious (zombie way). Perhaps on Earth, some forms of life developed competence through consciousness, while on other planets, things are different. Back in November 2025, the head of Microsoft's AI division, Mustafa Suleyman, urged not to attribute consciousness to neural networks.

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cryptobriefing.com Tobi Lütke: Leadership perceptions are distorted by media, the ineffectiveness of feel-good initiatives, and the necessity of long-term thinking in business | 20VC

Shopify's AI-driven transformation challenges traditional hiring practices amid rapid growth and evolving leadership roles. The post Tobi Lütke: Leadership perceptions are distorted by media, the ineffectiveness of feel-good initiatives, and the necessity of long-term thinking in business | 20VC appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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cryptobriefing.com Cenk Uygur: Bipartisan agreements favor corporate interests, the US is acting as a proxy for foreign governments, and many Americans feel politically homeless | Shawn Ryan Show

Political donations are seen as systemic bribery, overshadowing genuine governance and media integrity. The post Cenk Uygur: Bipartisan agreements favor corporate interests, the US is acting as a proxy for foreign governments, and many Americans feel politically homeless | Shawn Ryan Show appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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themerkle.com Mantle Crossing $1 Billion In Aave Growth With ZK upgrade And Institutional DeFi Strategy

Mantle kicked off 2026 with a milestone event: it reached more than $1 billion in total market size for its integration with Aave only 19 days after launching. Such a swift expansion is one of the fastest phases of growth in lending market development seen in decentralized finance so far. The spike was characterized by sudden jumps rather than a continuous increase. The ecosystem managed to attract over $200 million worth of capital over just a weekend, reflecting immense confidence on the part of individual as well as institutional investors. This underscores the urgent requirement for the development of highly The post Mantle Crossing $1 Billion In Aave Growth With ZK upgrade And Institutional DeFi Strategy appeared first on The Merkle News.

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blockonomi.com Cryptocurrency News Confirms $2.44 Billion in BTC ETF Inflows as Pepeto Presale Narrows Before Listing

The cryptocurrency news this week shows Bitcoin ETFs pulling $2.44 billion in April inflows according to Investing.com, nearly double March and the strongest month of 2026. BTC holds $78,370, whale wallets bought 270,000 BTC in 30 days, and total ETF assets now sit above $102 billion. ADA holders who turned small positions into large returns [...] The post Cryptocurrency News Confirms $2.44 Billion in BTC ETF Inflows as Pepeto Presale Narrows Before Listing appeared first on Blockonomi.

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bitcoinist.com New Bitcoin Quantum Proposal Gives Satoshi A Silent Ownership Path

Paradigm researcher Dan Robinson has proposed a new mechanism that could let long-dormant Bitcoin holders, including Satoshi Nakamoto, preserve a future claim to their coins if Bitcoin ever has to restrict spending from quantum-vulnerable addresses. The proposal, called Provable Address-Control Timestamps, or PACTs, is designed to let holders prove they controlled an address before cryptographically […]

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news.bitcoin.com ZachXBT Flags Polyarb as Fake Prediction Market With an Active Wallet Drainer

Onchain investigator ZachXBT has warned that Polyarb, a site presenting itself as a prediction market platform, is running an active wallet drainer and is gaining reach through prominent crypto accounts replying to its posts. Key Takeaways: ZachXBT warned on May 4, 2026, that Polyarb hosts an active wallet drainer targeting crypto users. Prominent accounts replying […]

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